A four point loss to the West Coast at Optus Stadium in Round 13 started a bad form for Richmond from which it has not yet recovered.
A four point loss to Fremantle on Sunday in Round 20 at the same location could have dealt the final blow to the reigning premieres season.
The Dockers scored the last two goals of the game, claiming a 7.13 (55) to 6.15 (51) low score win.
This gave them their own chances of reaching the final.
Goals were hard to score throughout the game and when the Dockers led by 18 points in the middle of season three they looked home.
Up until then, Richmond had had 1.10 on the board.
But as is the case with the champions teams, the Tigers rallied. Matthew Parker, drafted mid-season, scored goals on either side of the three-quarter time siren to sniff his team.
Then Kane Lambert jumped onto a loose ball from 50 meters away and kicked the Tigers’ fifth goal to give them the lead for the first time in the game at the start of the final game.
It took Lachie Schultz a screaming mark 14 minutes into the game to get the Dockers back on track, and Caleb Serong gave them the lead with a snap goal in just eight minutes.
In the last minute of the game, Richmond still had several scoring chances but were thwarted each time by young Dockers star Andrew Brayshaw.
Evergreen stars appear
Like almost every club, both teams suffered injuries in the second half of this season.
With Dustin Martin paused for the remaining games for the Tigers and Nat Fyfe and Michael Walters for Fremantle, someone had to move up in that competition.
Veterans did just that for both teams – Trent Cotchin and Dion Prestia for the Tigers and David Mundy for the Dockers.
It wasn’t their fault that the shots on goal were so bad, but they all made sure their respective strikers got a lot of looks.
Prestia returned from an Achilles tendon injury to play his seventh game of the season and first since round 15.
It took him a quarter to get into the content, only picked up six touches in the first semester, but finished with 31 touches.
Cotchin took control of the competition after half-time. He had 15 possessions in his third term to try to get his crew over the line. He had 32 touches, 11 of which were contested.
But when Cotchin got up, so did Mundy. The Dockers star had 12 possessions in this third term and was instrumental in getting the Tigers to take the lead before the final term began.
Brayshaw was the difference, however – at the start of the game and when it ended.
His clearance from the Tigers’ scoring area with seven seconds remaining was his 39th possession. Add eight shares and it’s been a pretty hands-on day.
Places to win
With the exception of the shortened schedule of last season, 11 wins should be enough to contest the final this season. It is the first time since 2011 that a side result of eleven wins has ended up in the top eight.
For Richmond to be in that mix, it must win all three remaining games against North Melbourne, Greater Western Sydney and Hawthorn to hit that number.
It takes two more wins for Fremantle to reach 11, with games against Brisbane, West Coast and St. Kilda.
The Tigers have no one to blame but themselves after losing six of their last seven games that started with that loss to the Eagles.
They are the worst performing team in the competition – in terms of wins and losses – since round 12.
A back party
Fremantle has to take off in attack if it wants to reach the finals and make an impact in them.
The halftime scores were 2.10 to 1.8, with the Dockers leading by eight points. The Tigers won the second quarter 0.7 to 0.4.
Matt Taberner (three goals) scored the first goal of the game after just two minutes. It was a great start to his 100th AFL game.
It also took him to 30 goals this season, the first time since his debut in 2013 that he had hit that number in one season.
Just three minutes later, he had a chance to kick his second and missed the set shot. That set the tone for scoring.
That bad shot on goal was Fremantle’s Achilles heel all season.
You have now finished 14 games more deficit than goals in 2021 – and only won five of them.
DOCKER 2.6 2.10 5.12 7.13 55
TIGER 1.1 1.8 3.14 6.15 51
ELBOROUGH’S BEST Dockers: Brayshaw, Mundy, Cerra, Ryan, Darcy, Serong. Tiger: Cotchin, Prestia, Baker, Stack, Rioli, Short.
OBJECTIVES Dock workers: Taberner 3; Schultz 2; Colyer, Serong. Tiger: Parker 2; Lambert, Riewoldt, Lynch, Mansell.
INJURIES Dockworkers: Banfield (concussion replaced by Blakely). Tiger: zero.
REFEREE Margetts, Dalgleish, Brown.
EVENT LOCATION Optus Stadium
PLAYER OF THE YEAR
THE VOICES OF BRAD ELBOROUGH
3 Brayshaw
2 Mundy
1 cotchin